Does a Modern Shot Diet Actually Build a Better Offense?
Set each team's three-point share against its offensive rating and the correlation is a weak +0.21 — Denver took the fewest threes yet ranked fifth on offense.
8 min read
Category
Player & Team Analysis
Frameworks and case studies for evaluating players and teams: spotting real improvement, reading stat profiles, and separating signal from noise.
What 1,652 Shots Reveal About Luka Dončić's Shot Diet
Luka scores 1.15 points per shot (league: 1.09) while taking the shots analytics hates — 43% above-the-break threes and 18% mid-range. Why it still works.
8 min read
Reading a Shot Diet: What Shot Selection Tells You About a Player
Where a player shoots from says as much as how often he scores. How to read a shot diet — rim, mid-range, three, free throw — and what it reveals.
7 min read
The Modern Center: How the Position's Stat Profile Changed in a Decade
The center that anchored 2014 offenses would look out of place today. I tracked how the position's statistical fingerprint changed, year by year.
7 min read
Anatomy of a Breakout: A Statistical Framework for Spotting Real Improvement
Hot stretches fade; real leaps stick. A framework — usage, efficiency, role, and shot diet — for telling a breakout from a mirage.
7 min read