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The Pace-and-Space Revolution: How the Three-Pointer Rewired the NBA, by the Numbers
In two decades the three-pointer went from a luxury to the center of gravity of NBA offense. Here's the rewiring, charted season by season.
On air · Numbers over noise · Est. 2026
The NBA, read through the data.
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Latest articles
The Margin Creep: The Season Doesn't Get Less Competitive — the Bottom Falls Out of It
Margins swell from 11.5 in autumn to 13.0 by spring; five-point games fall by a third. Split 1,230 games by tier and the creep is the bottom falling out.
8 min read
The Shot Market: Why a Star's Shot and a Bench Player's Shot Cost the Same
Rank 547 shooters by load and the price of a shot barely moves: harder diets and better shotmaking cancel to 1.09 — until the last rung, where it breaks by 0.09.
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"Any Given Night," Measured: How Often the Worse Team Actually Wins
Across 1,230 games, favorites separated by 5+ points of season win% won 70.8% — and 30-point mismatches still lost one in six. The curve and the upset ledger.
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The Heave: What Every 3P% You Have Ever Read Quietly Throws Away
248 threes from 30+ feet hit 20.2% — a blend of a 28.9% logo shot and a 6.2% surrender, split by a dead zone at 33 feet where the arc simply ends.
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The Restricted-Area Cliff: The Biggest Efficiency Drop on an NBA Floor Is Not at the Arc
The restricted area shoots 65.8%, the rest of the paint 44.2% — a 21.6-point cliff, five times any gap at the arc, and the fall is finished five feet from the rim.
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Which Three Should You Shoot? The Wing, the Top of the Key, and 7,255 Attempts
Split 7,255 above-the-break threes by zone: wings 36.5%, top of the key 34.6% — the worst three on the floor. Match distances and the gap thins to 0.2 SE of noise.
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