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The Pace-and-Space Revolution: How the Three-Pointer Rewired the NBA, by the Numbers
In two decades the three-pointer went from a luxury to the center of gravity of NBA offense. Here's the rewiring, charted season by season.
On air · Numbers over noise · Est. 2026
The NBA, read through the data.
Original, data-driven NBA analysis — explainers, tutorials, and deep-dives built on public data I pull and chart myself. No invented stats, no hot takes without a table behind them.
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Points Per Shot: The Number That Explains Modern Shot Selection
Multiply a shot's point value by how often it goes in and you get the stat that rebuilt NBA offenses. Why the rim and the three pay, the long two doesn't, and how points per shot reshaped the floor.
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The Value of a Possession: Points Per Possession and Why Per-100 Wins
An average NBA possession is worth a touch over a point. How points per possession separates pace from efficiency, why turnovers and offensive rebounds bend the count, and how it all rolls up into net rating.
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Home-Court Advantage: What the 2023-24 Games Actually Show
Across 1,231 real games, the home team won 54% and outscored visitors by 2.2 a night. But the edge isn't spread evenly — it hides almost entirely in the blowouts. A from-scratch look at where home court really lives.
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Switching Defense and Positional Versatility: The Roster It Takes
Switching kills the screen by trading men, but only if your defenders can guard anyone they land on. When and why teams switch, the personnel it requires, how switchability is measured, and the mismatch-vs-rotation trade-off.
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Drives and Paint Touches: How Rim Pressure Bends a Defense
What tracking data counts as a drive, points and passes per drive, why rim pressure forces a defense to collapse, and how the drive-and-kick converts penetration into open threes.
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The Mid-Range Shot: Why Analytics Devalued It, and Who Still Uses It
The mid-range is the least efficient zone on average, but it never died. Why shot-value math devalued it, when it's actually the right shot (late clock, vs switches), and how the expected-points framework really frames it.
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